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Diagnosing

Diagnosing

Analyzing and selecting patterns in what is known about a situation and making an appropriate decision with respect to the origins of a situation which exists.
Analyzing and selecting patterns in what is known about a situation and making an appropriate decision with respect to the origins of a situation which exists.

Failures of perception

We have known for a long time that we have significant holes in our ability to properly perceive the world around us. Francis Bacon described these limitations as follows:

Behavioral psychologists tell us that we have two subsystems at work which unconsciously compete for our attention and influence the choices which we make in a given situation. The first of these subsystems is our intuition, which is usually fast, unconscious, effortless, implicit, and emotional. The second of these subsystems is our rational side, which is slower, conscious, explicit, logical, and tiring to employ: 

blog on the psychology of entreprenurial misjudgement is also relevant.

Discuss ladder of inference from Fifth Discipline

http://facilitatedsystems.com/weblog/2008/08/prediction-system-dynamics-...

http://www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2010/10/economic-mi...

The overhead of switching contexts

Eye inside monitorLet's consider the implications of distributing attention across too many competing demands. Inefficiencies exist as people or teams switch from performing one task to another. Let's call the monitoring and control function which performs such context switches our 'Work Operating System'. This Work Operating System is offered to provide a metaphor for what occurs during context switches, and relate that to the actions which an operating system must perform as it manages the resources on a computer. In each case, whether the computer or person switches contexts, there is overhead (in both time and energy) that is involved in making such transitions. Read more »

A critical analysis of one competency initiative

Since selection bias can impact the perceived value of competencies at the time of their initial definition, the usability of derived competency elements, and the effectiveness of competency materials on community decision making, should only be assessed after an appropriate period of evaluation, involving multiple situations. Let's review one competency-based effort, in order to assess the suitability of the materials produced by that effort, after it has been in place for an adequate period of time to facilitate this evaluation. Read more »

The rose colored glasses of group think

When a team jointly develops a depiction of the causal aspects of historical events, and how those led to their current situation, they need to be aware of the effect that their own beliefs can have on their depiction of these events.  - Robert Jervis

Narrative and story-telling can be powerful psychological influences within group settings. We are 'wired' to desire to have our individual experiences become a part of our culture's folklore, and respond to the compelling stories of others in such contexts: Read more »

The map is not the terrain

Tell story about attempting to Include picture of modeling in action

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View Larger Mapp>Discuss pros and cons.

See A skeptic's guide to computer models

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